Like poker players, national strategists sometimes over or under play their plans.

Overplayed

https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3171706/boeing-737-max-still-key-restoring-confidence-china-us

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/russia-central-asia/article/3171755/ukraine-war-us-nato-prepare-russian-nuclear-attack 

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/22/world/asia/pakistan-imran-khan-parliament.html 

https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-meets-allies-in-brussels-seeking-to-end-war-in-ukraine-and-punish-putin-11648112332

https://www.wsj.com/articles/pope-francis-apologizes-for-abuse-of-indigenous-canadian-children-at-catholic-run-schools-11648815430 "We are sorry, but we will keep the spoils, thank you".

Underplayed

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3171708/doomed-china-eastern-flight-mu5735-warning-says-beijing-safety 

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Iran-Prepares-To-Ramp-Up-Oil-Production-To-4-Million-Bpd.html Very unlikely Iran will be able to increase production dramatically unless the West needs to build that country up a bit more for its delusional replays of WWs 1&2.

Unclear Agendas

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qQbVyHVmmKs 

Overstated Understatements

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/14/opinion/interest-rates-inflation-federal-reserve.html